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Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: HPB-Emerald, Dallas, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Very Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used books may not include companion materials, and may have some shelf wear or limited writing. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority!.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: SecondSale, Montgomery, IL, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: Good. Item in good condition. Textbooks may not include supplemental items i.e. CDs, access codes etc.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Reno, Reno, NV, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Reno, Reno, NV, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Phoenix, Phoenix, AZ, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Dallas, Dallas, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Dallas, Dallas, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. No Jacket. Former library book; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Very Good. No Jacket. May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.1.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: HPB-Red, Dallas, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used textbooks may not include companion materials such as access codes, etc. May have some wear or writing/highlighting. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority!.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Better World Books, Mishawaka, IN, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Ergodebooks, Houston, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Softcover. Condición: Good. New Ed. The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Book Deals, Tucson, AZ, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: Good. Good condition. This is the average used book, that has all pages or leaves present, but may include writing. Book may be ex-library with stamps and stickers. 1.01.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Reino Unido
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: HPB-Diamond, Dallas, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: Very Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used books may not include companion materials, and may have some shelf wear or limited writing. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority!.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Solr Books, Skokie, IL, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: VeryGood. Some wear but book is in very good condition. Text is mostly clean readable.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Irish Booksellers, Portland, ME, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: Good. SHIPS FROM USA. Used books have different signs of use and do not include supplemental materials such as CDs, Dvds, Access Codes, charts or any other extra material. All used books might have various degrees of writing, highliting and wear and tear and possibly be an ex-library with the usual stickers and stamps. Dust Jackets are not guaranteed and when still present, they will have various degrees of tear and damage. All images are Stock Photos, not of the actual item. book.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, New Jersey, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Doss-Haus Books, Redondo Beach, CA, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Soft cover. Condición: Fine. Softcover 2006 edition. Text and covers in fine condition. Binding firm. One word neatly underlined with three word margin note.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Irish Booksellers, Portland, ME, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: Good. SHIPS FROM USA. Used books have different signs of use and do not include supplemental materials such as CDs, Dvds, Access Codes, charts or any other extra material. All used books might have various degrees of writing, highliting and wear and tear and possibly be an ex-library with the usual stickers and stamps. Dust Jackets are not guaranteed and when still present, they will have various degrees of tear and damage. All images are Stock Photos, not of the actual item. book.
Publicado por Princeton, Princeton University Press., 2005
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Bucks County Bookshop IOBA, Doylestown, PA, Estados Unidos de America
Miembro de asociación: IOBA
Libro
Softcover. Condition: near fine. ISBN 0691128715.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: GoldenWavesOfBooks, Fayetteville, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: new. New. Fast Shipping and good customer service.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: LibraryMercantile, Humble, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: new.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, Reino Unido
Libro
Condición: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, Reino Unido
Libro
Condición: VeryGood. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: GoldenDragon, Houston, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: new. Buy for Great customer experience.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Wizard Books, Long Beach, CA, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: new. New.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: GoldBooks, Denver, CO, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: new. New Copy. Customer Service Guaranteed.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Books of the Smoky Mountains, Del Rio, TN, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Condición: very good. Gently used book with ongoing seller support until you're fully satisfied with your purchase.
Publicado por Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Librería: Big Bill's Books, Wimberley, TX, Estados Unidos de America
Libro
Paperback. Condición: new. Brand New Copy.