9781107531024 - trusting judgements: how to get the best out of experts de burgman, mark a. (6 resultados)
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Librería: Majestic Books, Hounslow, Reino UnidoMajestic Books
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EUR 29,39
Envío por EUR 7,58Se envía de Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de AmericaCantidad disponible: 4 disponibles
Condición: New. pp. 210.
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Librería: Book Grocer, Tullamarine, VIC, AustraliaBook Grocer
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EUR 15,89
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Paperback. Mark A. Burgman (University of Melbourne), Cambridge University Press. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportuniti…es for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made. Paperback.
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Librería: Grand Eagle Retail, Bensenville, IL, Estados Unidos de AmericaGrand Eagle Retail
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EUR 44,28
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Paperback. Condición: new. Paperback. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet e…ven the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.
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Librería: Revaluation Books, Exeter, Reino UnidoRevaluation Books
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EUR 52,02
Envío por EUR 11,66Se envía de Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de AmericaCantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Paperback. Condición: Brand New. 1st edition. 214 pages. 8.75x6.00x0.55 inches. In Stock.
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Librería: moluna, Greven, Alemaniamoluna
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EUR 42,07
Envío por EUR 48,99Se envía de Alemania a Estados Unidos de AmericaCantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Condición: New. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice..
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Librería: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, AlemaniaAHA-BUCH GmbH
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EUR 53,00
Envío por EUR 61,71Se envía de Alemania a Estados Unidos de AmericaCantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Taschenbuch. Condición: Neu. Neuware - Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet…even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made.
