A Realtime Interpretation of Climate Change, Uncertainty and Agricultural Dynamics

Now there is no dearth of experts on climate change, nor even on global warming. Our global leaders are busy with international conferences; experts are predicting what is going to happen to agriculture or livelihood through applying AI devices and perditions. Now we have started taking notes through a blend of participatory and non-participatory approaches, during 2023 , on what is the real time perception which is driving our farmers to set on their ground activities in terms of climate change, economic uncertainty And agricultural productivity. While the focus is on climate change, the farmers identified uncertainty of market is even more pernicious; if global warming has been the crux of discourses and geo-political concerns to most of the environmentalists, farmers are really concerns, as the data visualization goes deeper, depicts their increasing helplessness over increasing joblessness. Hence, we applied mental Modelling and Fuzzy logics to capture the real interpretation based on ongoing perception and simulation eying on the future consequences.

As we feel the real crisis that crippled into farmers' psychic ecosystem is the perceived uncertainty. To them not only climate has turned uncertain and unpredictable; the market response, cost and return of cropping, livelihood and agricultural occupation have isochronously turned chaotic, cryptic, fragile and uncertain. Only from the state of West Bengal a close to five millions of migrant workers , drifted off their agricultural occupation, have been found to wander across during Covid pandemic just to survive.

Prof. (Dr.) Sankar Kumarr Acharya, presently, Dean, Post Graduate Studies; former Head, Department of Agril Extension and Director, Extension Education, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, WB, born on 6th October, 1960, started his career as Assistant Professor at BCKV in 1988 and has been in teaching, research and extension over 35 years. An erudite teacher as well as an elegant speaker, is internationally acclaimed for his unique research domain of Social Entropy and Energy Metabolism, Social Ecology and Environmental Sociology, Enterprise Ecology Framework, Farm Stewardships: The Transition from Conservation, Technology Socialization Process, and The Social Ecology of Livelihood, which have got tremendous policy as well as scholastic importance. Research Publication: 247 in National and International Journals. Book Publication: 110 books authored / co-authored. Expert Member, Agriculture Commission; Marketing and Extension Sub Committee, Govt. of West Bengal; Expert member WWF projects in BTR (Buxa Tiger Reserve Project); Expert member; DFID project on Primary Education (DPEP); Rapid Environment Impact Analysis, Visited Italy, France, Germany, China, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh. Delivered 31 Key note addresses, 13, invited and lead speakers in International Congress, Chaired 19 Sessions in International conferences, and Editors of a score of national and international journals. He has so far been awarded with 15 best paper awards in National and International Conferences Organizing Secretary of two International Conferences, held in the years, 2016 & 2018, Jointly Organized by Department of Agricultural Extension, BCKV, WB and Krishisanskriti, New Delhi. He has also been honoured to be selected as the Convener of Panel (PE-32) entitled The hunger, poverty and silence, of IUAES, University of Manchester, UK, 2013 .Co-PI of ICAR, NAHEP and World Bank funded project on Conservation Agriculture. So, far he has successfully guided 19 Ph D scholars, of which one awarded with DAAD fellowship, Germany and two other placed as visiting scholars at Ohio State University and Cornel University, 2020-21, USA; 83 M Sc students from BCKV CU, KU, Vidyasagar University. He is the fellow of ISEE, IARI, New Delhi, Fellow, BIOVED, He is now acting as editor, reviewer of a good number of national and international journals. Fellow Award, ISEE(ICAR-IARI, New Delhi), 2019 Awards and Distinctions: Distinguish Scholar Award, Krishisanskriti, New Delhi; Certificate of Merit for standing First class first at M Sc(Ag) in Agricultural Extension, 1986; Honorary Appointment to the Research Board of Advisors, The American Biographic Institute (2003); He has been honored to be selected as the Convener of Panel (PE-32) entitled the hunger, poverty and silence, of World Congress, IUAES, University of Manchester, UK, 2013 ;He has been honored to be selected as the Convener of Panel (P-102) entitled, Uncertainties, Unpredictability and Marginalization: The impact and mitigation for survival of agriculture and humanity, of the 19th World Congress, IUAES-WAU, 14-20 October, 2023, New Delhi, India, 2023; Honored to be nominated as Expert Member, Working group on Agricultural Extension and Training, West Bengal State Agriculture Commission (2007); Honored to be nominated by the Hon'ble Vice-Chancellor, BCKV to Act as an Expert Member, DPEP, A DFID, UK, project for planning and revamping primary education through POA of GOVT of India.(1995) Expert Member, Buxa Tiger Reserve Project funded by WWF(World Wide Wild Life Funding), 1998; Distinguished Professor and Academician Award, Research Education Solution (RES), M S Swaminathan School of Agriculture, Centurion University(2022); Diamond Achievers Award, Council for Academic Performance and Appraisal, New Delhi(2022); Honorary Fellowship Award, BIOVED Research Institute of Agriculture and Technology, Prayagraj on Occasion of Agricultural Scientists and Farmers' Congress. Achievers of German patent (Utility model no. 20202310273): Novel LOT based inventory management system with radio controlled pallet racking for storage solution. He is Fellow of the very prestigious West Bengal Academy of Science and Technology (WAST).

Partha Saren, born in Hooghly in 1999, is currently pursuing Post Graduate Diploma in Agribusiness (PGDAB). Presently he is engaged in research works for the dissertation of PGDABdegree and is working on writing other research papers and book chapters as well. He has completed his Bachelor of Science Agriculture (Honours) with First Division with Distinction from Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya in 2021. He has completed Master of Science (Ag.) in Agricultural Extension Education with First Class from the Department of Agricultural Extension, BCKV in 2023. He has experience of RAWE as an Intern and ELP as a Trainee under the one year Student READY Programme of ICAR. He has worked under renowned Extension Personnel in India, Prof. S. K. Acharya in Knowledge Lab, Department of Agricultural Extension, BCKV as a Post Graduate Researcher to complete his Master's Thesis. Under the guidance of his PG Research Advisor, he has developed keen interest in Data Analytics. He has been trained on Basics of Data Science including Python, Predictive Modelling and Statistical Data Analysis by Internshala, a NSDC approved Edu-Tech giant.