Excerpt from The Logic of Change: An Essay on the Foundations and Province of the Theory of Probability, With Especial Reference to Its Application to Moral and Social Science

Any work on Probability by a Cambridge man will be so likely to have its scope and its general treatment of the subject prej udged, that it may be well to state at the outset that the following Essay is in no sense mathematical. Not only, to quote a common but often delusive assurance, will 'no knowledge of mathematics beyond the simple rules of Arithmetic be required to understand these pages, but it is not intended that any such knowledge should be acquired by the process of reading them. On the two or three occasions on which algebraical formulae occur they will not be found to form any essential part of the text.

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