Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. This volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe. Editor(s): Tabeau, Ewa; Berg Jeths, Anneke van den; Heathcote, C.R. Series: European Studies of Population. Num Pages: 306 pages, biography. BIC Classification: 1DD; 1QFH; JHBD. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly; (UU) Undergraduate. Dimension: 244 x 166 x 25. Weight in Grams: 618. . 2001. Hardback. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.

N� de ref. del art�culo V9780792368335

Contactar al vendedor

Denunciar este art�culo

Detalles bibliogr�ficos

T�tulo: Forecasting Mortality in Developed Countries
Editor: Kluwer Academic Publishers
Fecha de publicaci�n: 2001
Idioma: Ingl�s
ISBN 10: 0792368339
ISBN 13: 9780792368335
Encuadernaci�n: Encuadernaci�n de tapa dura
Estado: New

Acerca de

Sinopsis

Information on future mortality trends is essential for population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in developed countries of Western Europe.
In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality, perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic, epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.

Rese�a del editor

"Sobre este t�tulo" puede pertenecer a otra edici�n de este libro.

Descripci�n de la librer�a

We carry a comprehensive range of out of print and rare books.

Ver la p�gina web de la librer�a

Informaci�n empresarial del vendedor

Kennys Bookshops and Art Galleries Limited
Liosban Industrial Estate, Tuam Road, Galway, GY, Ireland

Condiciones de venta y env�o

Condiciones de venta

We guarantee the condition of every book as it's described on the Abebooks websites.

If you're dissatisfied with your purchase (Incorrect Book/Not as Described/Damaged) or if the order hasn't arrived, you're eligible for a refund within 30 days of the estimated delivery date.

For any queries please use the contact seller link or send an email to books@kennys.ie

Conor Kenny

Derecho a cancelaci�n

Condiciones de env�o

All books securely packaged. Some books ship from Ireland.

Tarifas de env�o de Estados Unidos de America a Espa�a

Tarifas de env�o de Estados Unidos de America a Espa�a
Cantidad del pedido	De 16 a 22 d�as h�biles	De 14 a 20 d�as h�biles
Primer art�culo	EUR 1.90	EUR 2.07

Los plazos de entrega los establecen los vendedores y var�an seg�n el transportista y la ubicaci�n. Los pedidos que pasan por la aduana pueden sufrir retrasos y los compradores son responsables de los aranceles o tarifas asociadas. Los vendedores pueden ponerse en contacto con usted en relaci�n con cargos adicionales para cubrir cualquier aumento en los costes de env�o de los art�culos.