How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To

Idioma: inglés

Editorial: Quercus Publishing, United Kingdom, London, 2023

1529408679 / 9781529408676

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Librería: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Reino UnidoWorldofBooks

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Vendedor de AbeBooks desde 16 de marzo de 2007

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Descripción del artículo del vendedor

A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball? How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet? Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting? How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.

N° de ref. del artículo GOR013275008

Título
How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
Autor
Kit Yates
Editorial
Quercus Publishing, United Kingdom, London
Año de publicación
2023
Estado
Very Good
Encuadernación
Paperback
Idioma
inglés
ISBN 10
1529408679
ISBN 13
9781529408676
Peso del artículo
531 gramos
Dimensiones
158.0 x 236.0

WorldofBooks

Goring-By-Sea, WS, Reino Unido

Vendedor de 5 estrellas

Vendedor de AbeBooks desde 16 de marzo de 2007

Tarifas de envío de Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de America

ArtículoDe 7 a 12 días hábilesDe 5 a 9 días hábiles
Primer artículoEUR 6,52EUR 13,97
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In 2002, World of Books Group was founded on an ethos to do good, protect the planet and support charities by enabling more goods to be reused. Since then, we've grown into to a global company pioneering the circular economy. Today, we drive the circular economy through three re-commerce brands: - Wob: Through Wob, we sell. We provide affordable, preloved books and media to customers all over the world. A book leaves our collection of over seven million titles and begins a new chapter every two seconds, enabling more goods to be reused. - Ziffit: Through Ziffit, we buy. We give people around the world the opportunity to contribute to the circular economy, earn money and protect the planet, by trading their unwanted books and media. - Shopiago: Through Shopiago, we help others. By sharing the technology that has grown World of Books Group into the business it is today, we’re helping charities increase revenue and reduce waste through re-commerce.

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COOKERY, RECYCLE, CHARITY, USED BOOKS, MODERN, HISTORY, CHILDRENS, FICTION, CHEAP BOOKS, NON -FICTION

Información empresarial del vendedor

World of Books Ltd

Mulberry House, Woods Way Trading Estate
Goring-By-Sea, Reino Unido BN12 4QY