The Logical Foundations of Statistical Interference: 65 (Synthese Library, 65) - Tapa blanda

Kyburg Jr., Henry E.

 
9789027704306: The Logical Foundations of Statistical Interference: 65 (Synthese Library, 65)
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ISBN 10: 9027704309 ISBN 13: 9789027704306
Editorial: Springer, 2009

Sinopsis

Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi­ cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex­ pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as ’acceptable’ in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.

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Reseña del editor

Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi­ cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex­ pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as 'acceptable' in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.

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Editorial
Springer
Año de publicación
2009
Idioma
Inglés
ISBN 10 
9027704309
ISBN 13 
9789027704306
Encuadernación
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Número de páginas
444
Contacto del fabricante
ProductSafety@springernature.com
ProductSafety@springernature.com

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Darmstadt
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Alemania

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9789027703309: The Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference: 65 (Synthese Library)

Edición Destacada

ISBN 10:  9027703302 ISBN 13:  9789027703309
Editorial: Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1974
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