Ongoing global changes pose fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. Uncertainty can dominate, as in the climate change debates. Increasing the resolution of models does not always yield sufficient certainty. This book presents much-needed new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty.
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Ongoing global changes pose fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. Uncertainty can dominate, as in the climate change debates. Increasing the resolution of models does not always yield sufficient certainty. This book presents much-needed new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty.
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Librería: Biblios, Frankfurt am main, HESSE, Alemania
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Librería: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, Alemania
Taschenbuch. Condición: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Ongoing global changes bring fundamentally new scientific problems requiring new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of practically irreducible uncertainties, which challenge our traditional models and require new concepts and analytical tools. The uncertainty critically dominantes, e.g., the climate change debates. In short, the dilemma is concerned with enormous costs vs. massive uncertainties of potential extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches usually rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and 'pure' experiments and learning by doing may be very expensive, dangerous, or simply impossible. In addition, available historical observations are contaminated by actions, policies. The complexity of new problems does not allow to achieve enough certainty by increasing the resolution of models or by bringing in more links. Hence, new tools for modeling and management of uncertainty are needed, as given in this book. 330 pp. Englisch. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9783540352587
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Librería: preigu, Osnabrück, Alemania
Taschenbuch. Condición: Neu. Coping with Uncertainty | Modeling and Policy Issues | Kurt Marti (u. a.) | Taschenbuch | xiii | Englisch | 2006 | Springer | EAN 9783540352587 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg, juergen[dot]hartmann[at]springer[dot]com | Anbieter: preigu. Nº de ref. del artículo: 102196255
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Librería: moluna, Greven, Alemania
Kartoniert / Broschiert. Condición: New. Shows how global changes pose urgent, fundamentally new scientific problemsPresents much-needed tools for modeling and management of complex problemsOffers action-oriented strategy for dealing with complex, large scale problems. Nº de ref. del artículo: 4888218
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