Let the Evidence Speak: Using Bayesian Thinking in Law, Medicine, Ecology and Other Areas - Tapa blanda

Sinopsis

Introduction

Section A. Likelihood

1. Whose car?

2. Bayes' Rule

3. Track Record

4. Game Show

5. Margin of error

6. Five thoughts about likelihoods

Section B. Base rate

7. Diagnosis

8. Information

9. Being careful about base rates

10. Independence

11. Review

Section C. Application

12. Who Wrote That?

13. Wood, Trees and Wildlife

14. Radiocarbon dating

15. Bayes and the Law

16. The Selection Task

Conclusion

A formula for Bayes' Rule

Notes

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