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Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity: 99 (Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 99) - Tapa dura

Libro 103 de 378: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control

Lorkowski, Joe; Kreinovich, Vladik

 
9783319622132: Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity: 99 (Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, 99)
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ISBN 10: 3319622137 ISBN 13: 9783319622132
Editorial: Springer, 2017

Sinopsis

This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events.

Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with "granules" that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities.

This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making -so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.

"Sinopsis" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.

De la contraportada

This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events.

Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with granules that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities.

This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.

"Sobre este título" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.

Editorial
Springer
Año de publicación
2017
Idioma
Inglés
ISBN 10 
3319622137
ISBN 13 
9783319622132
Encuadernación
Tapa dura
Número de edición
1
Número de páginas
176
Contacto del fabricante
no disponible
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