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Sinopsis
Many scientific disciplines rely on observational data of systems for which it is difficult (or impossible) to implement controlled experiments. Data analysis techniques are required for identifying causal information and relationships directly from such observational data. This need has led to the development of many different time series causality approaches and tools including transfer entropy, convergent cross-mapping (CCM), and Granger causality statistics. A practicing analyst can explore the literature to find many proposals for identifying drivers and causal connections in time series data sets. Exploratory causal analysis (ECA) provides a framework for exploring potential causal structures in time series data sets and is characterized by a myopic goal to determine which data series from a given set of series might be seen as the primary driver. In this work, ECA is used on several synthetic and empirical data sets, and it is found that all of the tested time series causality tools agree with each other (and intuitive notions of causality) for many simple systems but can provide conflicting causal inferences for more complicated systems. It is proposed that such disagreements between different time series causality tools during ECA might provide deeper insight into the data than could be found otherwise.
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James McCracken received his B.S. in Physics and B.S. in Astrophysics from the Florida Institute of Technology in 2004, his M.S. from the University of Central Florida in 2006, and his Ph.D. in Physics from George Mason University in 2015. He currently lives and works in the Washington, D.C., metro area.
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- EditorialSpringer
- Año de publicación2016
- ISBN 10 3031007816
- ISBN 13 9783031007811
- EncuadernaciónTapa blanda
- IdiomaInglés
- Número de páginas148
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Exploratory Causal Analysis with Time Series Data
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Springer International Publishing Mrz 2016, 2016
ISBN 10: 3031007816
ISBN 13: 9783031007811
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Taschenbuch. Condición: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Many scientific disciplines rely on observational data of systems for which it is difficult (or impossible) to implement controlled experiments. Data analysis techniques are required for identifying causal information and relationships directly from such observational data. This need has led to the development of many different time series causality approaches and tools including transfer entropy, convergent cross-mapping (CCM), and Granger causality statistics. A practicing analyst can explore the literature to find many proposals for identifying drivers and causal connections in time series data sets. Exploratory causal analysis (ECA) provides a framework for exploring potential causal structures in time series data sets and is characterized by a myopic goal to determine which data series from a given set of series might be seen as the primary driver. In this work, ECA is used on several synthetic and empirical data sets, and it is found that all of the tested time series causality tools agree with each other (and intuitive notions of causality) for many simple systems but can provide conflicting causal inferences for more complicated systems. It is proposed that such disagreements between different time series causality tools during ECA might provide deeper insight into the data than could be found otherwise. 148 pp. Englisch. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9783031007811
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Exploratory Causal Analysis with Time Series Data
Publicado por
Springer International Publishing, 2016
ISBN 10: 3031007816
ISBN 13: 9783031007811
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Taschenbuch
Librería: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Alemania
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Taschenbuch. Condición: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Many scientific disciplines rely on observational data of systems for which it is difficult (or impossible) to implement controlled experiments. Data analysis techniques are required for identifying causal information and relationships directly from such observational data. This need has led to the development of many different time series causality approaches and tools including transfer entropy, convergent cross-mapping (CCM), and Granger causality statistics. A practicing analyst can explore the literature to find many proposals for identifying drivers and causal connections in time series data sets. Exploratory causal analysis (ECA) provides a framework for exploring potential causal structures in time series data sets and is characterized by a myopic goal to determine which data series from a given set of series might be seen as the primary driver. In this work, ECA is used on several synthetic and empirical data sets, and it is found that all of the tested time series causality tools agree with each other (and intuitive notions of causality) for many simple systems but can provide conflicting causal inferences for more complicated systems. It is proposed that such disagreements between different time series causality tools during ECA might provide deeper insight into the data than could be found otherwise. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9783031007811
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Exploratory Causal Analysis with Time Series Data (Synthesis Lectures on Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery)
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Exploratory Causal Analysis with Time Series Data
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ISBN 10: 3031007816
ISBN 13: 9783031007811
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Condición: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. James McCracken received his B.S. in Physics and B.S. in Astrophysics from the Florida Institute of Technology in 2004, his M.S. from the University of Central Florida in 2006, and his Ph.D. in Physics from George Mason University in 2015. He currently live. Nº de ref. del artículo: 608129167
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