This dissertation concerns the nature and rationality of self-fulfilling beliefs: beliefs whose contents will be true just in case you believe them, because you believe them. Examples of this phenomenon span the quotidian - a child's belief that she will be fed may prompt a parent to begin her feeding - to the complex - as in cases, from the psychology of education, in which student performances match the expectations of their instructors. These examples can be difficult to fit into traditional theories of theoretical reasoning, where the role of theoretical reasoning is to get us on to some independent fact of the matter, by following our evidence. Since there is no independent fact of the matter to track when a belief is self-fulfilling, there will be no evidence of that fact for us to follow. But we are not Cartesian egos, apart from the world and observing it. We ourselves are part of the world we are trying to represent, and so, sometimes, what we believe can affect what the objective world is like. We need an account of theoretical reasoning which can accommodate this fact, and explain how we ought to deliberate about those states of affairs effected by our deliberating
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Phil Tinline is a freelance writer and documentary-maker. Over the course of twenty years working for BBC Radio, he made and presented many acclaimed documentaries about how political history shapes our lives. He has written for The Times, The Guardian, The Daily Telegraph, BBC History Magazine, Prospect, Unherd, Engelsberg Ideas and The New Statesman.
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Paperback. Condición: new. Paperback. **The Times 'Politics Book of the Year 2022'****Selected as one of the New Statesman's 'Best Books of 2022'****Selected as one of Morning Star's 'Best Books of 2022'**From the Great Depression to the cost-of-living crisis, a new history of British democracy, revealing how politics is transformed through fear.Over Britain's first century of mass democracy, politics has lurched from crisis to crisis. How does this history of political agony illuminate our current age of upheaval?To find out, journalist Phil Tinline takes us back to two past eras when the ruling consensus broke down, and the future filled with ominous possibilities - until, finally, a new settlement was born. How did the Great Depression's spectres of fascism, bombing and mass unemployment force politicians to think the unthinkable, and pave the way to post-war Britain? How was Thatcher's road to victory made possible by a decade of nightmares: of hyperinflation, military coups and communist dictatorship? And why, since the Crash in 2008, have new political threats and divisions forced us to change course once again?Tinline brings to life those times, past and present, when the great compromise holding democracy together has come apart; when the political class has been forced to make a choice of nightmares. This lively, original account of panic and chaos reveals how apparent catastrophes can clear the path to a new era. The Death of Consensus will make you see British democracy differently. 'Tinline has a wonderful gift of making political history fun. Carefully researched and vividly written, this book is about personalities as much as principles. He has a keen eye for telling biographical details.' - The Sunday Times'One of the most original books on British politics published this year.' - The Times'One of the most original and enjoyable books on British politics to have appeared for many years.' - New Statesman'An insightful and timely new book.' - The Spectator'[A] fascinating analysis of the bad dreams that have fashioned Britain's dominant narratives.' - Morning Star'An excellent book about the death of successive political orders.' - Prospect'An engaging anecdote-packed history.' - Foreign Affairs From the Great Depression to the cost-of-living crisis, a new history of British democracy, revealing how politics is transformed through fear. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9781805260356
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Paperback. Condición: New. Over Britain's first century of mass democracy, politics has lurched from crisis to crisis. How does this history of political agony illuminate our current age of upheaval?To find out, journalist Phil Tinline takes us back to two past eras when the ruling consensus broke down, and the future filled with ominous possibilities - until, finally, a new settlement was born. How did the Great Depression's spectres of fascism, bombing and mass unemployment force politicians to think the unthinkable, and pave the way to post-war Britain? How was Thatcher's road to victory made possible by a decade of nightmares: of hyperinflation, military coups and communist dictatorship? And why, since the Crash in 2008, have new political threats and divisions forced us to change course once again?Tinline brings to life those times, past and present, when the great compromise holding democracy together has come apart; when the political class has been forced to make a choice of nightmares. This lively, original account of panic and chaos reveals how apparent catastrophes can clear the path to a new era. The Death of Consensus will make you see British democracy differently. Nº de ref. del artículo: LU-9781805260356
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