How do we make sense of complex evidence? What are the cognitive principles that allow detectives to solve crimes, and lay people to puzzle out everyday problems? To address these questions, David Lagnado presents a novel perspective on human reasoning. At heart, we are causal thinkers driven to explain the myriad ways in which people behave and interact. We build mental models of the world, enabling us to infer patterns of cause and effect, linking words to deeds, actions to effects, and crimes to evidence. But building models is not enough; we need to evaluate these models against evidence, and we often struggle with this task. We have a knack for explaining, but less skill at evaluating. Fortunately, we can improve our reasoning by reflecting on inferential practices and using formal tools. This book presents a system of rational inference that helps us evaluate our models and make sounder judgments.
"Sinopsis" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.
David Lagnado is Professor of Cognitive and Decision Sciences in the Department of Experimental Psychology, UCL. He has written over 100 articles and co-authored a textbook on the psychology of decision making. He has worked with US intelligence, the UK government and various legal and financial institutions, looking at methods to improve reasoning and decision making.
"Sobre este título" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.
Librería: Book Alley, Pasadena, CA, Estados Unidos de America
hardcover. Condición: Very Good. Appears to be unread--a nice copy. No dust jacket, as issued. Nº de ref. del artículo: mon0000702673
Cantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Librería: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, Estados Unidos de America
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: 43109797-n
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: California Books, Miami, FL, Estados Unidos de America
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: I-9781107006003
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, Estados Unidos de America
Condición: As New. Unread book in perfect condition. Nº de ref. del artículo: 43109797
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: Kennys Bookshop and Art Galleries Ltd., Galway, GY, Irlanda
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: V9781107006003
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, Reino Unido
Condición: New. In English. Nº de ref. del artículo: ria9781107006003_new
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: GreatBookPricesUK, Woodford Green, Reino Unido
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: 43109797-n
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: GreatBookPricesUK, Woodford Green, Reino Unido
Condición: As New. Unread book in perfect condition. Nº de ref. del artículo: 43109797
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: THE SAINT BOOKSTORE, Southport, Reino Unido
Hardback. Condición: New. This item is printed on demand. New copy - Usually dispatched within 5-9 working days. Nº de ref. del artículo: C9781107006003
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles
Librería: CitiRetail, Stevenage, Reino Unido
Hardcover. Condición: new. Hardcover. How do we make sense of complex evidence? What are the cognitive principles that allow detectives to solve crimes, and lay people to puzzle out everyday problems? To address these questions, David Lagnado presents a novel perspective on human reasoning. At heart, we are causal thinkers driven to explain the myriad ways in which people behave and interact. We build mental models of the world, enabling us to infer patterns of cause and effect, linking words to deeds, actions to effects, and crimes to evidence. But building models is not enough; we need to evaluate these models against evidence, and we often struggle with this task. We have a knack for explaining, but less skill at evaluating. Fortunately, we can improve our reasoning by reflecting on inferential practices and using formal tools. This book presents a system of rational inference that helps us evaluate our models and make sounder judgments. This book is for students, researchers and academics interested in reasoning and evidence. It presents a novel perspective on human thinking, exposing common pitfalls and proposing new methods to help make better decisions. The author uses crime cases to show how to understand both legal and everyday problems. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9781107006003
Cantidad disponible: 1 disponibles