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9780887380884: False Science: Understanding the Soviet Arms Buildings

Sinopsis

Most Western assessments of the Soviet Military threat depend critically on the accuracy of the CIA's direct cost estimates of Soviet arms expenditures. These estimates not only measure the cost of Soviet defense programs, they also provide essential information on the real rate of Soviet procurement growth. The Central Intelligence Agency's estimates in this way serve as a summary indicator of the aggregate annual improvement in the quantity and quality of Soviet weaponry.In this explosive, expanded assessment of the CIA's military costing techniques, Steven Rosefielde shows that the CIA continues to dangerously underestimate the Soviet arms buildup. Rosefielde breaks out the CIA's direct costing methods into its component procedures and assumptions, and then applies econometric methods to test their empirical and logical validity. In doing so, he demonstrates how a fundamental methodological error has led to decades of falsely estimating the Soviet Union's military investment patterns. He argues forcefully that the CIA's optimistic conclusion that the Soviet threat has been checked is greatly exaggerated.

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Críticas

-A complex, highly technical, and important book.... The research and the thesis of the book are carefully stated and executed.... This is a readable volume which can be understood without the detailed economic analysis and cost-estimating techniques discussed.... This book is invaluable wherever issues of defense spending, Soviet-American relations, arms competition, or arms negotiations and the like are explored.- --Choice "A complex, highly technical, and important book.... The research and the thesis of the book are carefully stated and executed.... This is a readable volume which can be understood without the detailed economic analysis and cost-estimating techniques discussed.... This book is invaluable wherever issues of defense spending, Soviet-American relations, arms competition, or arms negotiations and the like are explored." --Choice "A complex, highly technical, and important book.... The research and the thesis of the book are carefully stated and executed.... This is a readable volume which can be understood without the detailed economic analysis and cost-estimating techniques discussed.... This book is invaluable wherever issues of defense spending, Soviet-American relations, arms competition, or arms negotiations and the like are explored." --Choice

Reseña del editor

Most Western assessments of the Soviet Military threat depend critically on the accuracy of the CIA's direct cost estimates of Soviet arms expenditures. These estimates not only measure the cost of Soviet defense programs, they also provide essential information on the real rate of Soviet procurement growth. The Central Intelligence Agency's estimates in this way serve as a summary indicator of the aggregate annual improvement in the quantity and quality of Soviet weaponry.In this explosive, expanded assessment of the CIA's military costing techniques, Steven Rosefielde shows that the CIA continues to dangerously underestimate the Soviet arms buildup. Rosefielde breaks out the CIA's direct costing methods into its component procedures and assumptions, and then applies econometric methods to test their empirical and logical validity. In doing so, he demonstrates how a fundamental methodological error has led to decades of falsely estimating the Soviet Union's military investment patterns. He argues forcefully that the CIA's optimistic conclusion that the Soviet threat has been checked is greatly exaggerated.

"Sobre este título" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.

  • EditorialRoutledge
  • Año de publicación1987
  • ISBN 10 0887380883
  • ISBN 13 9780887380884
  • EncuadernaciónTapa dura
  • IdiomaInglés
  • Número de edición2
  • Número de páginas452
  • Contacto del fabricanteno disponible

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Rosefielde, Steven
Publicado por Routledge, 1987
ISBN 10: 0887380883 ISBN 13: 9780887380884
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Librería: Wonder Book, Frederick, MD, Estados Unidos de America

Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas Valoración 5 estrellas, Más información sobre las valoraciones de los vendedores

Condición: As New. Like New condition. Very Good dust jacket. A near perfect copy that may have very minor cosmetic defects. Nº de ref. del artículo: O14C-03119

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Rosefielde, Steven
Publicado por Transaction Publishers, 1987
ISBN 10: 0887380883 ISBN 13: 9780887380884
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Librería: dsmbooks, Liverpool, Reino Unido

Calificación del vendedor: 4 de 5 estrellas Valoración 4 estrellas, Más información sobre las valoraciones de los vendedores

Hardcover. Condición: Like New. Like New. book. Nº de ref. del artículo: D7S9-1-M-0887380883-6

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