The Change Function: Why Some Technologies Take Off and Others Crash and Burn

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9780713682076: The Change Function: Why Some Technologies Take Off and Others Crash and Burn

The ultimate guide to predicting winners and losers in high technology 

Pip Coburn became famous for writing some of the liveliest reports on Wall Street. He quoted everyone from Machiavelli to HAL, Anaïs Nin to Yoda, Einstein to Gandhi. But along with the quirky writing, he consistently delivered sharp insights into technology trends and helped investors pick stocks with long-term potential.

After years of studying countless winners and losers, Coburn has come up with a simple idea that explains why some technologies become huge hits (iPods, DVD players, Netflix), but others never reach more than a tiny audience (Segways, video phones, tablet PCs). He says that people are only willing to change when the pain of their current situation outweighs the perceived pain of trying something new.

In other words, technology demands a change in habits, and that’s the leading cause of failure for countless cool inventions. Too many tech companies believe in "build it and they will come" build something better and people will beat a path to your door. But, as Coburn shows, most potential users are afraid of new technologies, and they need a really great reason to change.

The Change Function is an irreverent look at how this pattern plays out in countless sectors, from computers to cell phones to digital TV recorders. It will be an invaluable book for people who create and invest in new technologies.

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About the Author:

Pip Coburn is the founder of Coburn Ventures, an advisory services firm. Before starting his own company, he was a managing director and global technology strategist in the technology group of UBS Investment Research, where he oversaw 120 technology and telecom analysts worldwide.

From Booklist:

"Build it and they will come." Only for Kevin Costner, according to Pip Coburn, former Global Technology Strategist for investment house UBS. Dubbing all consumers "earthlings," Coburn reasons that most people will not adopt a new technology until the perceived benefits outweigh the perceived pain of trying to learn something new. Coburn has taken years of research notes and created a series of case studies about individual technologies to prove his theories of failure. Using quotes from Aristotle to Einstein, plus dozens from columnists of now defunct technology magazines, Coburn makes some interesting points about technologies that consumers, oops, sorry, "earthlings" care about, such as Internet phones, HDTV, and the iPod. But most readers will not know what an ASP is (application service provider) much less why they should care. Alpha chips, early interactive TV, picture phones from the 1960s, tablet PCs, and companies like Iridium and Webvan were probably of significant interest to Coburn's investors back in the day, but they do little now to engage any earthling's interest in why these technologies failed. Gail Whitcomb
Copyright © American Library Association. All rights reserved

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Pip Coburn
Editorial: A & C Black Publishers Ltd (2007)
ISBN 10: 0713682078 ISBN 13: 9780713682076
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Descripción A & C Black Publishers Ltd, 2007. Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. Next day dispatch from the UK (Mon-Fri). Please contact us with any queries. Nº de ref. de la librería mon0000388322

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Pip Coburn
Editorial: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, United Kingdom (2007)
ISBN 10: 0713682078 ISBN 13: 9780713682076
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Descripción Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, United Kingdom, 2007. Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. Language: N/A. Brand New Book. After years of studying countless winners and losers, the author has come up with a simple idea that explains why some technologies-DVD players, iPods-become huge hits while others-video phones-crash and burn. His big idea is that people are only willing to change when the pain of their current situation outweighs the perceived pain of trying something new. In other words, technology demands a change in habits. This simple fact is the main cause of failure for many fabulous inventions. Many companies fall for their own hype and believe that if they build something better, people will automatically beat a path to their door. This is not necessarily the case; as Coburn shows, most potential users are afraid of new technologies and need a really great reason to change. The Change Function looks at this trend across many industry sectors, from computers to mobile phone and digital TV recorders, and is invaluable for anyone who creates, invests in, or is interested in, new technologies. .every page is a tug at your lapels to see things his way. The world would be a better place if we did. Wall Street Journal. Nº de ref. de la librería AA79780713682076

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Pip Coburn
Editorial: Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, United Kingdom (2007)
ISBN 10: 0713682078 ISBN 13: 9780713682076
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Descripción Bloomsbury Publishing PLC, United Kingdom, 2007. Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. Language: N/A. Brand New Book. After years of studying countless winners and losers, the author has come up with a simple idea that explains why some technologies-DVD players, iPods-become huge hits while others-video phones-crash and burn. His big idea is that people are only willing to change when the pain of their current situation outweighs the perceived pain of trying something new. In other words, technology demands a change in habits. This simple fact is the main cause of failure for many fabulous inventions. Many companies fall for their own hype and believe that if they build something better, people will automatically beat a path to their door. This is not necessarily the case; as Coburn shows, most potential users are afraid of new technologies and need a really great reason to change. The Change Function looks at this trend across many industry sectors, from computers to mobile phone and digital TV recorders, and is invaluable for anyone who creates, invests in, or is interested in, new technologies. .every page is a tug at your lapels to see things his way. The world would be a better place if we did. Wall Street Journal. Nº de ref. de la librería AA79780713682076

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