Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis

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9780566091667: Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis

Project managers tend to believe their cost estimates - whether they have exceeded budgets in the past or not. It is dangerous to accept the engineering cost estimates, which are often optimistic or unrealistic. Though cost estimates incorporate contingency reserves below-the-line, these estimates of reserves often do not benefit from a rigorous assessment of risk to project costs. Risks to cost come from multiple sources including uncertain project duration, which is often ignored in cost risk analyses. In short, experience shows that cost estimating on projects is rarely successful - cost overruns routinely occur. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of all types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. Integrated cost-schedule risk anlaysis helps us determine how likely the project will go over budget with the current plan, how much contingency reserve is required to achieve a desired level of certainty, and which risks are most important so the project manager can mitigate them and achieve a better result. Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis provides solutions for these and other challenges. This book follows on from David Hulett's highly-praised Practical Schedule Risk Analysis. It focuses on the way that schedule risk can generate cost risk, and how to handle this relationship. It also applies the Risk Driver Method to the analysis so that you can clearly and transparently identify the key risks, rather than just the most risky cost line items. With detailed worked examples and over 70 illustrations, Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis offers the definitive guide to this critically important aspect of project management from surely the world's leading commentator.

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About the Author:

David T. Hulett is internationally recognised as a leading expert in risk management, leader in risk management activities of the Project Management Institute (project manager of the Risk Management chapter of the PMBOK® Guide, 2000 and third editions), deputy PM of the Practice Standard for Project Risk Management (ongoing), core committee member for the Practice Standard for Project Scheduling and frequent conference speaker. He has a consulting and training practice with clients in many industries around the world.

Review:

'Hulett's latest book ...describes how one can (and really should) develop risk models that consider both cost and schedule and, more importantly, the interaction between the two. It is to be hoped that Hulett's approach will be adopted, no doubt adapted to suit each individual practitioner, to produce more realistic (let us not say 'accurate') projections of project outcomes - to set more achievable targets and to point towards more effective risk mitigation actions.' --Philip Rawlings, Director, Euro Log Ltd

'Why then do so many of us ignore this monumental testament to the success of statistics, modeling and simulation? I ask this because in this book David gives us an effective approach and all the tools we need to improve our cost and schedule estimates, which will increase the chance for success in our projects. Once armed with the tools and techniques necessary we can all improve. We can never know the 'unknowable' ...the future will always be uncertain, but we can surely decrease the cone of uncertainty to a manageable level.' --Charles Bosler, and President of RiskTrak International

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1.

David Hulett
Editorial: Taylor Francis Ltd, United Kingdom (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
Nuevos Tapa dura Cantidad: 10
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The Book Depository
(London, Reino Unido)
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Descripción Taylor Francis Ltd, United Kingdom, 2011. Hardback. Estado de conservación: New. New ed.. Language: English . Brand New Book. Project managers tend to believe their cost estimates - whether they have exceeded budgets in the past or not. It is dangerous to accept the engineering cost estimates, which are often optimistic or unrealistic. Though cost estimates incorporate contingency reserves below-the-line, these estimates of reserves often do not benefit from a rigorous assessment of risk to project costs. Risks to cost come from multiple sources including uncertain project duration, which is often ignored in cost risk analyses. In short, experience shows that cost estimating on projects is rarely successful - cost overruns routinely occur. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of all types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. Integrated cost-schedule risk anlaysis helps us determine how likely the project will go over budget with the current plan, how much contingency reserve is required to achieve a desired level of certainty, and which risks are most important so the project manager can mitigate them and achieve a better result. Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis provides solutions for these and other challenges. This book follows on from David Hulett s highly-praised Practical Schedule Risk Analysis. It focuses on the way that schedule risk can generate cost risk, and how to handle this relationship. It also applies the Risk Driver Method to the analysis so that you can clearly and transparently identify the key risks, rather than just the most risky cost line items. With detailed worked examples and over 70 illustrations, Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis offers the definitive guide to this critically important aspect of project management from surely the world s leading commentator. Nº de ref. de la librería AA69780566091667

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David Hulett
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Descripción Estado de conservación: New. Bookseller Inventory # ST0566091666. Nº de ref. de la librería ST0566091666

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David Hulett
Editorial: Taylor Francis Ltd, United Kingdom (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
Nuevos Tapa dura Cantidad: 10
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The Book Depository US
(London, Reino Unido)
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Descripción Taylor Francis Ltd, United Kingdom, 2011. Hardback. Estado de conservación: New. New ed.. Language: English . Brand New Book. Project managers tend to believe their cost estimates - whether they have exceeded budgets in the past or not. It is dangerous to accept the engineering cost estimates, which are often optimistic or unrealistic. Though cost estimates incorporate contingency reserves below-the-line, these estimates of reserves often do not benefit from a rigorous assessment of risk to project costs. Risks to cost come from multiple sources including uncertain project duration, which is often ignored in cost risk analyses. In short, experience shows that cost estimating on projects is rarely successful - cost overruns routinely occur. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of all types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. Integrated cost-schedule risk anlaysis helps us determine how likely the project will go over budget with the current plan, how much contingency reserve is required to achieve a desired level of certainty, and which risks are most important so the project manager can mitigate them and achieve a better result. Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis provides solutions for these and other challenges. This book follows on from David Hulett s highly-praised Practical Schedule Risk Analysis. It focuses on the way that schedule risk can generate cost risk, and how to handle this relationship. It also applies the Risk Driver Method to the analysis so that you can clearly and transparently identify the key risks, rather than just the most risky cost line items. With detailed worked examples and over 70 illustrations, Integrated Cost-Schedule Risk Analysis offers the definitive guide to this critically important aspect of project management from surely the world s leading commentator. Nº de ref. de la librería AA69780566091667

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David Hulett
Editorial: Ashgate 2011-05-28, Farnham (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Descripción Ashgate 2011-05-28, Farnham, 2011. hardback. Estado de conservación: New. Nº de ref. de la librería 9780566091667

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Hulett, David
Editorial: Ashgate Publishing Group (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Descripción Ashgate Publishing Group, 2011. Estado de conservación: New. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of various types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. This book provides solutions for these and other challenges. Num Pages: 200 pages, Includes 78 b&w illustrations. BIC Classification: KJMV1. Category: (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly; (UU) Undergraduate. Dimension: 250 x 177 x 20. Weight in Grams: 680. . 2011. New edition. Hardcover. . . . . . Nº de ref. de la librería V9780566091667

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Hulett, David
Editorial: Gower (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Descripción Gower, 2011. HRD. Estado de conservación: New. New Book. Shipped from UK in 4 to 14 days. Established seller since 2000. Nº de ref. de la librería GB-9780566091667

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David Hulett
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Ria Christie Collections
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Descripción Hardback. Estado de conservación: New. Not Signed; Project managers tend to believe their cost estimates - whether they have exceeded budgets in the past or not. It is dangerous to accept the engineering cost estimates, which are often optimistic or unrealistic. Though cost estimates incorporate contingency reserves below-the-line, these estimates o. book. Nº de ref. de la librería ria9780566091667_rkm

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HULETT, DAVID
Editorial: Gower (2011)
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Herb Tandree Philosophy Books
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Descripción Gower, 2011. Hardback. Estado de conservación: NEW. 9780566091667 This listing is a new book, a title currently in-print which we order directly and immediately from the publisher. Nº de ref. de la librería HTANDREE01017615

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Hulett David
Editorial: Ashgate Publishing Company
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Descripción Ashgate Publishing Company. Estado de conservación: New. pp. 240 , 78 Illus. Nº de ref. de la librería 4382840

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Hulett, David
Editorial: Ashgate Publishing Group
ISBN 10: 0566091666 ISBN 13: 9780566091667
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Kennys Bookstore
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Descripción Ashgate Publishing Group. Estado de conservación: New. There are effective ways to estimate the impact on the cost of complex projects from project risks of various types, including traditional cost-type risks and the indirect but often substantial impact from risks usually thought of as affecting project schedules. This book provides solutions for these and other challenges. Num Pages: 200 pages, Includes 78 b&w illustrations. BIC Classification: KJMV1. Category: (UP) Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly; (UU) Undergraduate. Dimension: 250 x 177 x 20. Weight in Grams: 680. . 2011. New edition. Hardcover. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Nº de ref. de la librería V9780566091667

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