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The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life (Ideas in Context, Series Number 12) - Tapa dura

 
9780521331159: The Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life (Ideas in Context, Series Number 12)

Sinopsis

The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling and baseball. Separate chapters explore the theoretical and methodological impact in biology, physics and psychology. Themes recur - determinism, inference, causality, free will, evidence, the shifting meaning of probability - but in dramatically different disciplinary and historical contexts. In contrast to the literature on the mathematical development of probability and statistics, this book centres on how these technical innovations remade our conceptions of nature, mind and society. Written by an interdisciplinary team of historians and philosophers, this readable, lucid account keeps technical material to an absolute minimum. It is aimed not only at specialists in the history and philosophy of science, but also at the general reader and scholars in other disciplines.

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Críticas

'The book provides a welcome introduction to the main historical themes of probability, statistics and inference. It is, at the same time, impressive in its range and subject-matter and in its depth of analysis.' The Times Higher Education Supplement

Reseña del editor

The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling and baseball. Separate chapters explore the theoretical and methodological impact in biology, physics and psychology. Themes recur - determinism, inference, causality, free will, evidence, the shifting meaning of probability - but in dramatically different disciplinary and historical contexts. In contrast to the literature on the mathematical development of probability and statistics, this book centres on how these technical innovations remade our conceptions of nature, mind and society. Written by an interdisciplinary team of historians and philosophers, this readable, lucid account keeps technical material to an absolute minimum. It is aimed not only at specialists in the history and philosophy of science, but also at the general reader and scholars in other disciplines.

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9780521398381: The Empire of Chance Paperback: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life: 12 (Ideas in Context, Series Number 12)

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ISBN 10:  052139838X ISBN 13:  9780521398381
Editorial: Cambridge University Press, 1990
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Gigerenzer, Gerd; Swijtink, Zeno; Porter, Theodore; Daston, Lorraine; Beatty, John; Kruger, Lorenz
Publicado por Cambridge University Press, 1989
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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Hardcover. Condición: Very Good. Hardcover and dust jacket. Good binding and cover. Edge wear. Clean, unmarked pages. xvii, 340 pages, illustrations, 23 cm. The Empire of Chance tells how quantitative ideas of chance transformed the natural and social sciences, as well as daily life over the last three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling and baseball. Separate chapters explore the theoretical and methodological impact in biology, physics and psychology. Themes recur - determinism, inference, causality, free will, evidence, the shifting meaning of probability - but in dramatically different disciplinary and historical contexts. From the library Dr. Owen Hannaway. Hannaway was director of the Center for the History and Philosophy of Science at Johns Hopkins University. He authored numerous books and served as an editor of academic magazines in the history of science. Partial list of publications: Chemists and the Word: The Didactic Origins of Chemistry (1975); Observation, Experiment, and Hypothesis in Modern Physical Science (1985); The Evolution of Technology (1989); Science and the Practice of Medicine in the Nineteenth Century (1994); and The Foundations of Modern Science in the Middle Ages: Their Religious, Institutional and Intellectual Contexts (1996). Nº de ref. del artículo: 2502170027

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Gigerenzer, Gerd
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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Reprint. Near fine paperback copy; wrapper edges very slightly dulled. Remains particularly well-preserved overall; tight, bright, clean and especially sharp-cornered. Physical description: 360 pages; 21cm. Notes: Bibliography: p293-326. - Includes index. Contents:Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1 Classical probabilities, 1660-1840 -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 The beginnings -- 1.3 The classical interpretation -- 1.4 Determinism -- 1.5 Reasonableness -- 1.6 Risk in gambling and insurance -- 1.7 Evidence and causes -- 1.8 The moral sciences -- 1.9 Conclusion -- 2 Statistical probabilities, 1820-1900 -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Statistical regularity and l'homme moyen -- 2.3 Opposition to statistics -- 2.4 Statistics and variation -- 2.5 The error law and correlation -- 2.6 The statistical critique of determinism -- 2.7 Conclusion -- 3 The inference experts -- 3.1 In want of a "system of mean results -- 3.2 Analysis of variance -- 3.3 Fisher's antecedents: early significance tests and comparative experimentation -- 3.4 The controversy: Fisher vs. Neyman and Pearson -- 3.5 Hybridization: the silent solution -- 3.6 The statistical profession: intellectual autonomy -- 3.7 The statistical profession: institutions and influence -- 3.8 Conclusion -- 4 Chance and life: controversies in modem biology -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Spontaneity and control: chance in physiology -- 4.3 Coincidence and design: chance in natural history -- 4.4 Correlations and causes: chance in genetics -- 4.5 Sampling and selection: chance in evolutionary biology -- 5 The probabilistic revolution in physics -- 5.1 The background: classical physics -- 5.2 Probability in classical physics: the epistemic interpretation -- 5.3 Three limitations of classical physics: sources of probabilism -- 5.4 Comments on the three limitations -- 5.5 Mass phenomena and propensities -- 5.6 Explanations from probabilistic assumptions -- 5.7 The puzzle of irreversibility in time -- 5.8 The discontinuity underlying all change -- 6 Statistics of the mind -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 The pre-statistical period. 6.3 The new tools -- 6.4 From tools to theories of mind -- 6.5 A case study: from thinking to judgments under uncertainty -- 6.6 The return of the reasonable man -- 6.7 Conclusion -- 7 Numbers rule the world -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 New objects -- 7.3 New values -- 7.4 New rules -- 7.5 Conclusion -- 8 The implications of chance -- 8.1 Probabilistic imperialism -- 8.2 What does probability mean? -- 8.3 Determinism -- 8.4 Mechanized inference -- 8.5 Statistical Lebensgef uhl -- References -- Name index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- V -- W -- Y -- Z -- Subject index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W -- Z. Subjects: Probabilities. Mathematical statistics. Science -- Philosophy. Probabilities.Science. Probabilities History. Mathematical statistics History. Science Philosophy History.Philosophy. ProbabilityProbabilités. Statistique mathématique. Sciences Philosophie. Philosophie.Sciences. probability.philosophy. sciences (philosophy). Science.Philosophy. Mathematical statistics. Probabilities.Science Philosophy. Probabilities Philosophy.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy. MATHEMATICS Reference.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy. Science PhilosophyProbability. Probabilities.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy.Probabilities. Mathematical statistics. Probabilities Philosophy. Science Philosophy History. Probabilities Philosophical perspectives 1 Kg. Nº de ref. del artículo: 390024

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Gigerenzer, Gerd
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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Reprint. Near fine paperback copy; wrapper edges very slightly dulled. Remains particularly well-preserved overall; tight, bright, clean and especially sharp-cornered. Physical description: 360 pages; 21cm. Notes: Bibliography: p293-326. - Includes index. Contents:Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1 Classical probabilities, 1660-1840 -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 The beginnings -- 1.3 The classical interpretation -- 1.4 Determinism -- 1.5 Reasonableness -- 1.6 Risk in gambling and insurance -- 1.7 Evidence and causes -- 1.8 The moral sciences -- 1.9 Conclusion -- 2 Statistical probabilities, 1820-1900 -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Statistical regularity and l'homme moyen -- 2.3 Opposition to statistics -- 2.4 Statistics and variation -- 2.5 The error law and correlation -- 2.6 The statistical critique of determinism -- 2.7 Conclusion -- 3 The inference experts -- 3.1 In want of a "system of mean results -- 3.2 Analysis of variance -- 3.3 Fisher's antecedents: early significance tests and comparative experimentation -- 3.4 The controversy: Fisher vs. Neyman and Pearson -- 3.5 Hybridization: the silent solution -- 3.6 The statistical profession: intellectual autonomy -- 3.7 The statistical profession: institutions and influence -- 3.8 Conclusion -- 4 Chance and life: controversies in modem biology -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 Spontaneity and control: chance in physiology -- 4.3 Coincidence and design: chance in natural history -- 4.4 Correlations and causes: chance in genetics -- 4.5 Sampling and selection: chance in evolutionary biology -- 5 The probabilistic revolution in physics -- 5.1 The background: classical physics -- 5.2 Probability in classical physics: the epistemic interpretation -- 5.3 Three limitations of classical physics: sources of probabilism -- 5.4 Comments on the three limitations -- 5.5 Mass phenomena and propensities -- 5.6 Explanations from probabilistic assumptions -- 5.7 The puzzle of irreversibility in time -- 5.8 The discontinuity underlying all change -- 6 Statistics of the mind -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 The pre-statistical period. 6.3 The new tools -- 6.4 From tools to theories of mind -- 6.5 A case study: from thinking to judgments under uncertainty -- 6.6 The return of the reasonable man -- 6.7 Conclusion -- 7 Numbers rule the world -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 New objects -- 7.3 New values -- 7.4 New rules -- 7.5 Conclusion -- 8 The implications of chance -- 8.1 Probabilistic imperialism -- 8.2 What does probability mean? -- 8.3 Determinism -- 8.4 Mechanized inference -- 8.5 Statistical Lebensgef uhl -- References -- Name index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- V -- W -- Y -- Z -- Subject index -- A -- B -- C -- D -- E -- F -- G -- H -- I -- J -- K -- L -- M -- N -- O -- P -- Q -- R -- S -- T -- U -- V -- W -- Z. Subjects: Probabilities. Mathematical statistics. Science -- Philosophy. Probabilities.Science. Probabilities History. Mathematical statistics History. Science Philosophy History.Philosophy. ProbabilityProbabilités. Statistique mathématique. Sciences Philosophie. Philosophie.Sciences. probability.philosophy. sciences (philosophy). Science.Philosophy. Mathematical statistics. Probabilities.Science Philosophy. Probabilities Philosophy.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy. MATHEMATICS Reference.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy. Science PhilosophyProbability. Probabilities.Mathematical statistics.Science Philosophy.Probabilities. Mathematical statistics. Probabilities Philosophy. Science Philosophy History. Probabilities Philosophical perspectives 1 Kg. Nº de ref. del artículo: 390024

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Gigerenzer, Gerd
Publicado por Cambridge University Press, 1989
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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Condición: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read but remains in clean condition. All of the pages are intact and the cover is intact and the spine may show signs of wear. The book may have minor markings which are not specifically mentioned. Nº de ref. del artículo: wbs6581334227

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Gigerenzer, Gerd,Swijtink, Zeno,Porter, Theodore,Daston, Lorraine,Beatty, John,Kruger, Lorenz
Publicado por Cambridge University Press, 1989
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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hardcover. Condición: Good. Estado de la sobrecubierta: Good. First Edition. Good first edition in Good dust jacket; DJ has delamination, soiling, and edgewear. Glue staining at front hinge. Used with wesr; some markings / underlining. Nº de ref. del artículo: mon0000702623

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Gigerenzer, Gerd & Zeno Swijtink & Theodore Porter & Lorraine Daston & John Beatty & Lorenz Kruger [signed by co/author]
Publicado por Cambridge University Press, 1989
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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Hardback. Condición: Very Good. Estado de la sobrecubierta: Very Good. Dust jacket, slight delamination along top edge, unclipped; green cloth covered boards, gilt lettering on spine, corners sharp, spine slightly cocked, no owner's mark or annotations, binding tight. Signed by one of the co-authors. ; Ideas In Context; Vol. 12; 9.4 x 6.8 x 1; 360 pages; Signed by One Author. Nº de ref. del artículo: 54504

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GIGERENZER, Gerd; SWIJTINK, Zeno; PORTER, Theodore; DASTON, Lorraine; BEATTY, John & Lorenz KRÜGER:
ISBN 10: 0521331153 ISBN 13: 9780521331159
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First Edition. xviii, 340 pp. Original cloth. Near Fine, in near fine dust jacket. Nº de ref. del artículo: 13138

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