The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Pelican Books) - Tapa dura
Sinopsis
‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph
From the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty
We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know
"Sinopsis" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.
Acerca del autor
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 – 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
"Sobre este título" puede pertenecer a otra edición de este libro.
Otras ediciones populares con el mismo título
Resultados de la búsqueda para The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance,...
Imagen de archivo
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Pelican Books)
Librería: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Reino Unido
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Paperback. Condición: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Nº de ref. del artículo: GOR013943382
Comprar usado
EUR 11,00
Gastos de envío:
EUR 6,35
De Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 3 disponibles
Imagen del vendedor
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Librería: Bay State Book Company, North Smithfield, RI, Estados Unidos de America
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: good. The book is in good condition with all pages and cover intact, including the dust jacket if originally issued. The spine may show light wear. Pages may contain some notes or highlighting, and there might be a "From the library of" label. Boxed set packaging, shrink wrap, or included media like CDs may be missing. Nº de ref. del artículo: BSM.PQIT
Comprar usado
EUR 20,55
Gastos de envío:
GRATIS
A Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
Unknown
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Antiguo o usado
Librería: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, Estados Unidos de America
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: As New. Unread book in perfect condition. Nº de ref. del artículo: 47199388
Comprar usado
EUR 22,61
Gastos de envío:
EUR 2,28
A Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 5 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
The Art of Uncertainty
Librería: PBShop.store UK, Fairford, GLOS, Reino Unido
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
HRD. Condición: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. Nº de ref. del artículo: DB-9780241658628
Comprar nuevo
EUR 21,15
Gastos de envío:
EUR 5,69
De Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 15 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
Unknown
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Nuevo
Librería: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, Estados Unidos de America
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: 47199388-n
Comprar nuevo
EUR 25,29
Gastos de envío:
EUR 2,28
A Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 5 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
The Art of Uncertainty (Hardcover)
Publicado por
Penguin Books Ltd, London, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Nuevo
Tapa dura
Librería: Grand Eagle Retail, Bensenville, IL, Estados Unidos de America
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Hardcover. Condición: new. Hardcover. From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Nº de ref. del artículo: 9780241658628
Comprar nuevo
EUR 27,65
Gastos de envío:
GRATIS
A Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Imagen del vendedor
The Art of Uncertainty. How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Publicado por
London, Penguin (Pelican Books), 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Antiguo o usado
Tapa dura
Original o primera edición
Librería: Antiquariat Smock, Freiburg, Alemania
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: Gut. Formateinband: Pappband mit Umschlag / gebundene Ausgabe IXV, 487 S. 1st Edition; Minimale Druckstelle am Schnitt; sonst in gutem und sauberem Zustand. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 750 [Stichwörter: ]. Nº de ref. del artículo: 78974
Comprar usado
EUR 16,00
Gastos de envío:
EUR 12,90
De Alemania a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 1 disponibles
Imagen del vendedor
The Art of Uncertainty
Publicado por
Penguin Books Ltd, GB, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Nuevo
Tapa dura
Librería: Rarewaves.com USA, London, LONDO, Reino Unido
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Hardback. Condición: New. 'Probably the UK's greatest living statistician' TelegraphFrom the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don't know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know. Nº de ref. del artículo: LU-9780241658628
Comprar nuevo
EUR 29,56
Gastos de envío:
GRATIS
De Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 4 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
The Art of Uncertainty: Living with Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Librería: Majestic Books, Hounslow, Reino Unido
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: New. Nº de ref. del artículo: 397716272
Comprar nuevo
EUR 25,68
Gastos de envío:
EUR 7,37
De Reino Unido a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: 3 disponibles
Imagen de archivo
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck (Pelican Books)
Publicado por
Pelican, 2024
ISBN 10: 0241658624
ISBN 13: 9780241658628
Nuevo
Tapa dura
Original o primera edición
Librería: Kennys Bookshop and Art Galleries Ltd., Galway, GY, Irlanda
Calificación del vendedor: 5 de 5 estrellas
Condición: New. 2024. 1st Edition. hardcover. . . . . . Nº de ref. del artículo: V9780241658628
Comprar nuevo
EUR 22,73
Gastos de envío:
EUR 10,50
De Irlanda a Estados Unidos de America
Cantidad disponible: Más de 20 disponibles