The first complete, evidence-based guide to profitable gap trading: showing you how to recognise the gaps that matter and trade successfully on them.
Drawing on 6years of comprehensive data, Julie Dahlquist and Richard Bauer demonstrate how to sort “strategic” gaps from trivial ones and successfully trade on gaps identified as significant.
This book goes beyond “folklore” to systematically analyse the profitability of gap trading, helping you to identify and trade on strategic gaps and showing you how to combine gaps with other technical methods.
The book includes powerful tips for gap trading in stocks, futures and options.
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Julie R. Dahlquist, Ph.D., CMT is a senior lecturer, Department of Finance, at the University of Texas at San Antonio College of Business. She is the recipient of the 2011 Charles H. Dow Award for excellence and creativity in technical analysis. She is the coauthor (with Charles Kirkpatrick) of Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians and coauthor (with Richard Bauer) of Technical Market Indicators: Analysis and Performance. Her research has appeared in a number of publications, including Financial Analysts Journal, Journal of Technical Analysis, Active Trader, Working Money, Managerial Finance, Financial Practices and Education, and the Journal of Financial Education. She serves on the board of the Market Technicians Association Educational Foundation and is a frequent presenter at national and international conferences. She earned her B.B.A. and Ph.D. in economics from University of Louisiana at Monroe and Texas A&M, respectively, and her M.A. in Theology from St. Mary’s University.
Richard J. Bauer, Jr., Ph.D., CFA, CMT is Professor of Finance at the Bill Greehey School of Business at St. Mary’s University in San Antonio, Texas. His degrees include a B.S. in Physics, M.S. in Physics, M.S. in Economics, and a Ph.D. in Finance. He is the author of Genetic Algorithms and Investment Strategies and Technical Market Indicators (with J. Dahlquist), both published by John Wiley and Sons. He is the recipient of the 2011 Charles H. Dow Award for excellence and creativity in technical analysis. His research has appeared in a number of publications, including Financial Analysts Journal¸ Journal of Business Research, Managerial Finance, and Korean Financial Management Journal. He became a CFA charterholder in 1990 and a CMT charterholder in 2010. He is a past president of the CFA Society of San Antonio.
“Finally! We now have a book that deals exclusively with price gaps. Read how to identify them, trade them, and measure their returns. The authors challenge conventional wisdom regarding the usefulness of gaps on heavy or light volume. Find out if days that contain a high number of gapping stocks will offer clues to the market’s overall direction. I thank Julie and Richard for addressing my forty-five-year-old curiosity: What does it mean when prices gap above or below moving averages?”
—Ralph J. Acampora, CMT, Director, Technical Analysis, Altaira Limited
“Technical and quantitative market analysts who use or are considering using price gaps either in discretionary or systematic trading strategies will want to study, not just read, Technical Analysis of Gaps: Identifying Profitable Gaps for Trading by professors Julie Dahlquist and Richard Bauer. It adds momentum to the trend of rigorous evidence-based literature. Traders will learn which gaps contain the best profit potential and which contain none. It made me realize how little I knew about this important area of technical analysis.”
—David Aronson, CMT, President, Hood River Research, and author of Evidence-Based Technical Analysis
“Technical Analysis of Gaps summarizes the authors’ comprehensive research on stock price gaps. In it, they describe surprising results in gap behavior that dispel many Wall Street myths. They show practical methods for taking advantage of gaps and profiting from their appearance. This book is a classic. In my opinion, it is the final, complete treatise on the subject of stock market gaps.”
—Charles D. Kirkpatrick II, CMT, Kirkpatrick & Company, Inc., and coauthor of Technical Analysis: The Complete Resource for Financial Market Technicians
The First Complete, Research-Based Guide to Profitable Gap Trading
Gaps represent price jumps that could signal profitable technical trading opportunities. Until now, however, “folklore” about gap trading has been common, but tested research-based knowledge has been virtually nonexistent. In Technical Analysis of Gaps , renowned technical analysis researchers Julie Dahlquist and Richard Bauer change all that. Drawing on 17 years of comprehensive data, they show how to identify “strategic” gaps with high profit potential to trade more successfully.
Building on work that recently earned them the prestigious Charles H. Dow Award for creativity and innovation in technical analysis, Dahlquist and Bauer present specific techniques for analyzing gaps. They address issues such as gap size, volume, and previous price movement; illuminate key findings with easy-to-understand diagrams; and integrate their insights into practical, actionable trading strategies.
• Visualize gaps with candlestick charts
Uncover surprising gap patterns and trading Opportunities
• Measure the profitability of gap-based trades
Gain objective information to assess and select gap trades
• Understand subtle relationships between gaps and price movements
Use both short-term information and longer-term moving averages
• Put it all together in profitable trades
Translate gap research into successful strategies
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