Evaluating the Performance of Inflation Targeting: An Empirical Analysis - Tapa blanda

Applying the Ordinary Least Square method and panel data analysis, the performance of inflation targeting (IT) regime is analyzed in 11 developed and developing economies. The results show that the implementation of inflation targeting has effectively reduced the inflation rate and stimulates high output growth. The reduction of inflation rate is larger in developing economies but the gain in higher output growth is larger in developed economies. On the other hand, there is strong evidence that inflation targeting has led to higher volatility in exchange rate of developed economies. Furthermore, the deviations of inflation and output gap have increased in the post-IT period in few economies. However, we do not find evidence that inflation targeting induces trade-off relationship between inflation and output gap as the trade-off relationship between inflation and output gap also detected in the pre-IT period. Overall results show on better economic conditions after the implementation of inflation targeting regime.

Jenq Fei Chu is a graduate student under the Program of Applied Sciences (Statistics) at School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia.Siok Kun Sek is a Senior Lecturer of School of Mathematical Sciences, Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM), Malaysia. Her main research area is in Econometrics, Monetary Policy an