The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)

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9780812973815: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto)

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1.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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BWB
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Descripción Estado de conservación: New. Depending on your location, this item may ship from the US or UK. Nº de ref. de la librería 97808129738150000000

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Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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Descripción Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. This is an International Edition Brand New Paperback Same Title Author and Edition as listed. ISBN and Cover design differs. Similar Contents as U.S Edition. Standard Delivery within 6-14 business days ACROSS THE GLOBE. We can ship to PO Box address in US. We may ship the books from multiple warehouses across the globe including Asia depending upon the availability of inventory. Printed in English. Customer satisfaction guaranteed. Nº de ref. de la librería US9780812973815

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3.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Editorial: Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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Descripción Random House Trade Paperbacks. Estado de conservación: New. 081297381X This is an International Edition. Brand New, paperback, Delivery within 6-14 business days, Same Contents as U.S Edition, ISBN and Cover design may differ. Choose Expedited shipping for delivery within 4-7 business days. We do not ship to PO Box, APO,FPO Address. We may ship the books from multiple warehouses across the globe, including India depending upon the availability of inventory storage. Customer satisfaction guaranteed. Nº de ref. de la librería NU9780812973815

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TALEB, NASSIM NICHOLAS
Editorial: Penguin Random House
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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Descripción Penguin Random House. Estado de conservación: New. Brand New. Nº de ref. de la librería 081297381X

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Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Editorial: Random House Trade Paperbacks
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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Mediaoutlet12345
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Descripción Random House Trade Paperbacks. PAPERBACK. Estado de conservación: New. 081297381X *BRAND NEW* Ships Same Day or Next!. Nº de ref. de la librería SWATI2122026293

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Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Editorial: Random House LCC US (2010)
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
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Descripción Random House LCC US, 2010. PAP. Estado de conservación: New. New Book.Shipped from US within 10 to 14 business days. Established seller since 2000. Nº de ref. de la librería IB-9780812973815

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7.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Editorial: Random House USA Inc, United States (2010)
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
Nuevos Paperback Cantidad: 10
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The Book Depository
(London, Reino Unido)
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Descripción Random House USA Inc, United States, 2010. Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. 2nd. 201 x 132 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb The most prophetic voice of all. --GQ Praise for The Black Swan [A book] that altered modern thinking. --The Times (London) A masterpiece. --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail Idiosyncratically brilliant. --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works. --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate [Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy. --The Wall Street Journal Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into. --Financial Times Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition. --The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition. Nº de ref. de la librería AAS9780812973815

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8.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Editorial: Random House USA Inc, United States (2010)
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
Nuevos Paperback Cantidad: 10
Librería
The Book Depository US
(London, Reino Unido)
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Descripción Random House USA Inc, United States, 2010. Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. 2nd. 201 x 132 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book--itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb The most prophetic voice of all. --GQ Praise for The Black Swan [A book] that altered modern thinking. --The Times (London) A masterpiece. --Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail Idiosyncratically brilliant. --Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works. --Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate [Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy. --The Wall Street Journal Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into. --Financial Times Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition. --The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition. Nº de ref. de la librería AAS9780812973815

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9.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
Nuevos Paperback Cantidad: > 20
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BargainBookStores
(Grand Rapids, MI, Estados Unidos de America)
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Descripción Paperback. Estado de conservación: New. Nº de ref. de la librería 872439

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10.

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Editorial: Random House, New York
ISBN 10: 081297381X ISBN 13: 9780812973815
Nuevos Softcover Cantidad: 1
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Collectibles Mining Company
(Silver Plume, CO, Estados Unidos de America)
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Descripción Random House, New York. Softcover. Estado de conservación: New. Estado de la sobrecubierta: None issued. Second Edition. Book Description: " A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we--especially the experts--are blind to them. Taleb has added a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world." (Book statement) Book ships from Silver Plume, CO. Nº de ref. de la librería BT032

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