Futurehype: The Tyranny of Prophecy

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9780525249689: Futurehype: The Tyranny of Prophecy
From Publishers Weekly:

Most of the predictions made by futurists, self-proclaimed pundits and trend-spotters turn out to be false, charges Dublin. In a masterful and enjoyable debunking of the pretensions of crystal gazers in all fields, this University of Toronto sociologist administers a sound drubbing to Buckminster Fuller, Henry Kissinger, Arthur Clarke, John Naisbitt, Herman Kahn, New Age sage Stewart Brand and others whose prophecies have, in Dublin's reckoning, proved misleading or false. His targets include artificial-intelligence gurus who hype a "computer revolution" in the classroom, the Reagan administration's "simplistic, debilitating" supply-side economics and nuclear strategists who put forth dire prophecies to justify military buildup. He lambastes forecasters in the oil industry, health-care technocrats, nuclear-fusion advocates and apostles of a "post-industrial society" supposedly run on a flow of information and services. With a wealth of examples, Dublin drives home his message that false predictions act like false promises, lulling us into a sense of inevitability and causing us to act in self-defeating ways.
Copyright 1991 Reed Business Information, Inc.

From Library Journal:

Humans have always had a curiosity for the future with every generation producing its own prophets, wizards, and seers. Today, we have a blossoming "futurism industry" proclaiming the next megatrend and issuing incessant pronouncements about the future of technology, economics, education, and the political order. The thesis of this remarkable book by Toronto sociologist Dublin is that there are discernible dangers in our fascination to know and in our need to react to these increasingly influential "futurehype" forecasts. Arguing that many so-called futurists are nothing more than modern snake-oil salesmen, Dublin points out how difficult it is to accurately forecast the future, how such (often incorrect) predictions affect the policy decisions being made today and why they cause us to ignore current problems that need our attention. While this volume holds a valuable message for any intelligent reader, this book is especially poignant for planners and forecasters. Recommended for larger public library collections.
- Gene R. Laczniak, Marquette Univ., Milwaukee
Copyright 1991 Reed Business Information, Inc.

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Max Dublin
Editorial: E.P. Dutton (1991)
ISBN 10: 0525249680 ISBN 13: 9780525249689
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Descripción E.P. Dutton, 1991. Hardcover. Estado de conservación: New. First Edition. {NEW} Hardback with Dust Jacket. Remainder mark on bottom of page edges. FIRST EDITION. Nº de ref. de la librería 200280

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Max Dublin
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Max Dublin
Editorial: Dutton Adult (1991)
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Descripción Dutton Adult, 1991. Hardcover. Estado de conservación: New. Nº de ref. de la librería DADAX0525249680

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Max Dublin
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Descripción Dutton Adult, 1991. Hardcover. Estado de conservación: New. book. Nº de ref. de la librería 0525249680

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