Modeling Risk: Applying Monte Carlo Risk Simulation, Strategic Real Options, Stochastic Forecasting, and Portfolio Optimization + DVD (Wiley Finance) - Tapa dura

Mun, Johnathan

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7 calificaciones proporcionadas por Goodreads

9780470592212: Modeling Risk: Applying Monte Carlo Risk Simulation, Strategic Real Options, Stochastic Forecasting, and Portfolio Optimization + DVD (Wiley Finance)

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ISBN 10: 0470592214 ISBN 13: 9780470592212

Editorial: John Wiley & Sons Ltd, 2010

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Book by Mun Johnathan

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Rese�a del editor:

An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industries a more comprehensive guide on such key concepts as risk and return, the fundamentals of model building, Monte Carlo simulation, forecasting, time-series and regression analysis, optimization, real options, and more. * Includes new examples, questions, and exercises as well as updates using Excel 2007 * Book supported by author's proprietary risk analysis software found on the companion CD-ROM * Offers both a qualitative and quantitative description of risk Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, this reliable resource covers all of the essential tools and techniques that risk managers need to successfully conduct risk analysis. Note: CD-ROM/DVD and other supplementary materials are not included as part of eBook file.

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Praise for Modeling Risk, Second Edition

"Unavoidable for any professional . . . logical, concrete, and conclusive approach."
—Jean Louis Vaysse, Vice President of Marketing, Airbus (France)

"A must-have, must-read book with practical applications of risk analysis."
—Glenn Kautt, President and Chairman, The Monitor Group, Inc.

"Clear step-by-step approach . . . latest technology in decision making for real-world business."
—Dr. Paul W. Finnegan, Vice President, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

"A must-read for product portfolio managers . . . captures risk exposure of strategic investments."
—Rafael E. Gutierrez, Executive Director of Strategic Marketing and Planning, Seagate Technology LLC

"Clearly organized and tool-supported exploration of real-life business risks, options, and strategy."
—Robert Mack, Vice President, Distinguished Analyst, Gartner, Inc.

"Valuable tools for corporations to deliver value to shareholders and society even in rough times."
—Dr. Markus G�tz Junginger, Lead Partner, Gallup (Germany)

"Powerful toolset for portfolio/program managers to make rational choices among alternatives."
—Rear Admiral James Greene (U.S. Navy, Retired), Acquisition Chair, Naval Postgraduate School

"Pragmatic powerful risk techniques, valuable theoretical insights, and analytics useful in any industry."
—Dr. Robert S. Finocchiaro, Director, Corporate R&D Services, 3M

"Clear road map and breadth of topics to create dynamic risk-adjusted strategies and options."
—Jeffrey A. Clark, Vice President, Strategic Planning, The Timken Company

"Most important risk tools in one volume . . . a definitive source on risk management with vivid examples."
—Dr. Ricardo Valerdi, Engineering Systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"Full range of flexible methodologies and applications for quantifying and mitigating risk for effective enterprise risk management."
—Raymond Heika, Director, Strategic Planning, Northrop Grumman Corporation

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